Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.962106 3.284729 3.633522 4.039554 4.500379 5.008465 5.612864
2025-04-27 2.530259 2.971363 3.481790 4.119718 4.900668 5.831969 7.036201
2025-05-04 2.256039 2.763673 3.381569 4.196585 5.254549 6.596915 8.453962
2025-05-11 2.046841 2.593156 3.285668 4.240097 5.540573 7.279019 9.827468
2025-05-18 1.880532 2.450792 3.198903 4.269492 5.790972 7.920528 11.208691
2025-05-25 1.694383 2.259725 3.022560 4.148802 5.806874 8.219948 12.116334
2025-06-01 1.562145 2.127699 2.910781 4.100778 5.911482 8.645699 13.253952
2025-06-08 1.455612 2.021093 2.822840 4.074178 6.037793 9.107911 14.498617
2025-06-15 1.408941 1.995302 2.847203 4.214262 6.429952 10.024399 16.619593
2025-06-22 1.327199 1.910698 2.775927 4.197247 6.565055 10.529887 18.088224
2025-06-29 1.248110 1.823864 2.693638 4.153432 6.647899 10.950053 19.452639
2025-07-06 1.138757 1.683230 2.517603 3.941438 6.423070 10.803470 19.711704
2025-07-13 1.085392 1.627910 2.474620 3.950669 6.589955 11.391489 21.530414
2025-07-20 1.050782 1.599920 2.473353 4.030274 6.890054 12.262148 24.073252
2025-07-27 1.018017 1.572412 2.470307 4.105467 7.188235 13.163497 26.836176
2025-08-03 0.981808 1.536644 2.450404 4.147920 7.427311 13.974666 29.539719
2025-08-10 0.946034 1.499161 2.424589 4.176571 7.641041 14.758035 32.318887
2025-08-17 0.888852 1.421975 2.324780 4.058977 7.550773 14.885301 33.521493
2025-08-24 0.847457 1.369502 2.265005 4.012180 7.599170 15.317536 35.568182
2025-08-31 0.812273 1.325830 2.218110 3.986258 7.687795 15.849016 37.973573
2025-09-07 0.803134 1.327335 2.252773 4.122762 8.135174 17.260565 43.063420
2025-09-14 0.772973 1.289590 2.212769 4.106183 8.246495 17.891645 46.078630
2025-09-21 0.741268 1.247395 2.161932 4.063489 8.295016 18.375460 48.761668